Warmer Still — ‘No Way Out’

March 26, 2012

Dramatic changes in climate are being rigged as plot devices for entertainment — ‘Are you not?’
From the New York Times review of the new film, “4:44 Last Day on Earth:”

The cause of the calamity is an environmental breakdown enabled by the human failure to do anything about about climate change.
Or perhaps the hole in the ozone layer; the science is a bit vague.
But the timing of the big finish (referred to in the film’s title) is clear, and though there is an occasional flicker of doubt that it will actually happen, all of the public and private voices of reason and faith seem to agree that there is no way out.

(Illustration found here).

Even as the US has finished a string of record-breaking warm temperatures, described as one of North America’s most extraordinary weather events in recorded history.
Although the Times movie reviewer did not go crazy for ‘4:44,’ the plot device did allow a view of the last day as being somewhat normal — would that be the reality?

One near-fact and leaving that ‘science is a bit vague‘ sense behind — it will be much warmer.
Another round of research finds previous temperature predictions to be above previous expectations:

A new study suggests climate scientists may have underestimated the effect of greenhouse gases, with global temperatures now predicted to rise by between 1.4 and 3 degrees Celsius by 2050.
The study was published in the journal Nature Geoscience by a team of international scientists who ran 10,000 computer simulations of climate models in an attempt to explore the range of global warming predictions made by climate scientists.
The researchers found that while their results matched the predictions made by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) at the lower end, they were higher than earlier predictions at the higher end.

“But it makes me think that people who are thinking about real-world problems, farmers, wine growers in Australia, people managing river catchments for instance, might want to have a look at some of these models to think about what … might plausibly happen, what sorts of changes they might plausibly have to manage for,” he said (Climate-change Professor David Frame at Victoria University of Wellington).
“So one of the real purposes of this is to give planners a chance to … think about scenarios for the future that are physically plausible, are internally consistent, which is an important property and potentially quite practical.”

The professor also doubles up on reality: “If people keep emitting fossil fuels in the way we expect…”
And this is to be expected for the US region: Decreasing snowpack in the western mountains; 5-20 percent increase in yields of rain-fed agriculture in some regions; increased frequency, intensity and duration of heat waves in cities that currently experience them.
Even worse for other parts of the planet, especially in the availability of drinking water.
Some of that shit is already happening — and why climate change is way-way-more than just being entertained.

As in time for young adult crazies — vampires or kids trying to kill one another.
From Climate Progress this morning:

The increase in global climate temperatures has raised concerns about the vampire bat species travelling from Mexico and South and Central America into the southern and central regions of Texas.
Carin Peterson, training and outreach coordinator of the Office of Environmental Health and Safety, said even if vampire bats are not making their appearance, Austin’s surrounding caves and popular bat attraction, Congress Avenue Bridge, already have their annual bat species.
“Biologists are paying attention to the warming climate and what potential impacts that could bring, including non-native wildlife, but this is not something that will likely happen within the next few years,” Peterson said.

Next few years…?
Just don’t go out without a turtleneck — so now, are you entertained?

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