Wet Shower

October 10, 2015

jpeg-26Drizzle-as-rain this Saturday morning on California’s north coast, and although the liquid fog is barely moist, it’s still wet.
According to forecasts at the beginning of the week, the storm is a couple of days early. Skies yesterday afternoon were pretty dark, the air warm, anticipation qualities for showers — from what I could tell, the rainfall might not even be considered in the category of ‘showers.’

This particular damp patch comes via a series of weak fronts moving along the coast, with the ocean the most-chaotic, breakers still expected today to maybe top 14 feet, created by stronger than typical currents.
The NWS continued its coastal ‘Hazardous’ obvious-warning for the weekend: ‘Remain farther back from the waters edge than normal and stay off of rocks and jetties.’
Common sense you’d think.

(Illustration found here).

Hopefully, from reports issued last week, this coming rainy season could be better than predicted, even the northern part of the state benefiting from the El Niño-influenced storms. Apparently, we’re might just get drenched, too.
From the Sacramento Bee:

El Niño might put a dent in the drought after all.
In a revised forecast Thursday, the National Weather Service said Northern California stands a decent chance of getting significant precipitation from this winter’s El Niño weather pattern, a development that could help ease the state’s four-year drought.
Until now, forecasters have been saying this winter likely would bring heavy rains to Southern California, which is typical for El Niño, but they’ve been less certain about the outlook for the northern half of the state.
Because the state’s major reservoirs are in the north, that’s where the rain and snow need to fall to substantially bolster the state’s water supplies.

What’s changed since the weather service’s previous forecasts?
Mead said analysts took a fresh look at previous winters and concluded that strong El Niños tend to bring heavy rains in the north. Other forecasters noted the persistence of this year’s El Niño and said temperature anomalies in the South Pacific are favorable to Northern California’s rain outlook.
“Moderate El Niños tend to get Southern California wet, and the strong ones get all of California wet,” said Jeffrey Mount, a water specialist at the Public Policy Institute of California.
Mount said he’s encouraged that the so-called “ridiculously resilient ridge,” the high-pressure system that kept rain and snow from falling on California, is breaking down.

State climatologist Michael Anderson, who has urged caution as El Niño fever has risen in the last few months, said he, too, thinks there’s a better chance of significant precipitation in Northern California.
“As we get closer, we are seeing trajectories move in a more favorable outcome,” he said.

Notable entry in the famous-final-words department: ‘As we get closer…
Shit gets more real, huh?

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