Cloudy with a chilly air this early Wednesday on California’s north coast — the weather lately becoming like the old, monotonous standard, ‘shampoo, rinse, repeat.’
The days becoming really similar — gray and gloomy in the morning, bright and cheerful in the afternoon.
Not a complaint whatsoever. We’ve one of the continual most-pleasant weather situations on the planet right now.
We’re warming, too, though in a more subtle fashion due to location, mostly elsewhere the world the climate has gone haywire — toasting and roasting at record levels.
Reportedly, June was the warmest ever, making this year on point to beat even 2015 heat — Gavin Schmidt of NASA: ‘“2016 has really blown that out of the water,”‘
(Illustration above found here).
The NOAA and NASA released data yesterday which show 2016 is frying, could be the hottest ever, knocking down 2015’s record levels — via Climate Central:
While 2016 has gotten a boost from an exceptionally strong El Niño, the record temps are mostly the result of the excess heat that has built up in Earth’s atmosphere due to accumulating greenhouse gases.
That heat is raising global sea levels, disrupting ecosystems and leading to more extreme weather events.
Every month this year has been record warm globally.
Several months early in the year were among the first ever recorded to exceed 1°C (1.8°F) above average according to both NASA and NOAA.
All six months of the year so far exceeded that remarkable benchmark when compared to preindustrial temperatures.
Key-point off the report from the Guardian:
But the effects of El Niño have receded, and the effects of global warming are clear, said NASA’s Gavin Schmidt.
“While the El Niño event in the tropical Pacific this winter gave a boost to global temperatures from October onwards, it is the underlying trend which is producing these record numbers,” he said.
NASA’s Walt Meir said the global temperatures have been exacerbated by extreme temperatures over the Arctic.
Warm temperatures there are pushing up the global average, as well a causing record-low amounts of sea ice.
“It has been a record year so far for global temperatures, but the record high temperatures in the Arctic over the past six months have been even more extreme,” Meier said.
“This warmth as well as unusual weather patterns have led to the record-low sea ice extents so far this year.”
Deke Arndt, the head of the climate monitoring division at NOAA’s National Centers for Environmental Information, explains the bottom line:
“2016 will be one of the warmest on record. Whether it slips to nominally above or nominally below 2015, that may depend on some climate variability factors like the strength of the La Niña,” Arndt said. “But it will share with 2015 the distinction of being, comfortably, the two warmest years on record and warmer, comfortably than any year we’ve measured in modern times.”
“It’s important to keep perspective here. Even if we aren’t setting records, we are in a neighborhood beyond anything we had seen before early 2015,” Arndt said in an email.
“We’ve left the 20th century far behind. This is a big deal.”
And it’s weird warming — yesterday, 117-degrees in Death Valley, California, but, Duh! ‘Death Valley.’ Yet even further north from where I’m located, there’s great heat, too. Cold grows warm for Alaska, as the ‘…state’s average temperature is 9°F above the 1925-2000 average for the year through June. The North Slope town of Deadhorse just recorded a temperature of 85°F (29.4°C), the hottest temperature ever measured within 50 miles of its Arctic coast.’
A precarious, scary situation made even way-worse exampled by this week’s RNC horror show in Cleveland — don’t get me started!
So, a couple of recent climate-change events/studies:
From UC San Diego on Monday:
A research team including a Scripps Institution of Oceanography at the University of California San Diego climate scientist simulated in a computer model, for the first time, the realistic evolution of global mean surface temperature since 1900.
In doing so, the researchers also created a new method by which researchers can measure and monitor the pace of anthropogenic global warming, finding that the contribution of human activities to warming in the surface waters of the Pacific Ocean can be distinguished from natural variability.
“Most of the difference between the raw data and new estimates is found during the recent 18 years since 1998,” said Xie.
“Because of the hiatus, the raw data underestimate the greenhouse warming.”
And from Phy.org last week:
In the most detailed picture to date, information from ESA’s CryoSat satellite reveals how melting ice in Greenland has recently contributed twice as much to sea-level rise as the prior two decades.
Between 2011 and 2014, Greenland lost around one trillion tonnes of ice.
This corresponds to a 0.75 mm contribution to global sea-level rise each year — about twice the average of the preceding two decades.
The study, published in Geophysical Research Letters today, combines data from the CryoSat mission with a regional climate model to map changes in Greenland ice-sheet mass.
It is the most detailed recent picture of ice loss from Greenland.
CryoSat carries a radar altimeter that can measure the surface height variation of ice in fine detail, allowing scientists to record changes in its volume with unprecedented accuracy.
The study demonstrates how the satellite has allowed researchers to map the complex regional pattern of imbalance.
“CryoSat’s radar really brings into focus our view of the ice sheet, revealing which glaciers are exhibiting the greatest signs of change,” explained lead author Dr Mal McMillan from the UK Centre for Polar Observation and Modelling at the University of Leeds.
“This helps us to study Greenland’s individual outlet glaciers, which in turn allows us to better understand the contribution they have made to global sea-level rise.”
And warm, sort of a ‘get hot, rinse, repeat‘ motif…