Fire, and Way-Rain

August 17, 2016

1371724873_Rain_brad-sharpSunshine peeling-away the fog, here just short of noon Wednesday on California’s north coast.
This afternoon’s forecast ‘Mostly Sunny‘ by the NWS, and the repetitive natural continues…

And what’s not of nature is rising temperatures — eastward just a short space from where I’m located, heat increases. Although we along the shoreline were in the mid-60s yesterday, Willow Creek topped 109-degrees. Noted like the restaurant-business success parameters: Location, location, location.
In the west, it’s fire, in the east it’s rain.

Down just east of LA, a rapid-spreading wildfire has consumed 47-square miles, including 4,000 homes — 82,000 residents are under evacuation warnings. Impacts are long-range: ‘Las Vegas officials are warning of problems from smoke and air pollution caused by a huge wildfire burning about 200 miles away in California.’

(Illustration: ‘Rain,’ by Brad Sharp, found here).

Meanwhile, way-back east and the mind-blown flooding in Louisiana — via Live Science this morning:

In his analysis for Pacific Standard, meteorologist Eric Holthaus noted the rarity of such a significant amount of rainfall.
“By midmorning on Friday, more than a foot [more than 30 centimeters] of rain had fallen near Kentwood, Louisiana, in just a 12-hour stretch — a downpour with an estimated likelihood of just once every 500 years, and roughly three months’ worth of rainfall during a typical hurricane season,” Holthaus wrote.
Such an event is known as a 500-year rainfall.
While, historically, such rain events are incredibly rare, this is at least the eighth 500-year (or rarer) rainfall event in America since just last May, Holthaus said.

Weather disasters such as this are indeed ringing the reality bell.
In conjunction with the Louisiana event — here’s a nutshell-explanation for our most-immediate future, and we’re already way behind any kind of learning curve — from Bob Henson and Dr. Jeff Masters at WunderBlog, also from this morning:

As the immediate emergency subsides in southeast Louisiana, residents are dealing with a massive clean-up effort and wondering how the past weekend’s flooding turned out to be so disastrous.
An estimated 40,000 homes have been damaged or destroyed by flooding, with 20,000 people rescued from high water and 10,000 in shelters, in what is likely to be a billion-dollar-plus disaster.
Enormous rainfall was the obvious trigger, as detailed in our posts of the last several days.
Even in a state as wet and flood-prone as Louisiana, some places are hit more regularly than others.
Many of the areas flooded in this event had not been under water in living memory, which added to the shock and pain of this event.
A long-planned diversion project designed to channel water a few miles westward from the Comite River to the Mississippi River just north of Baton Rouge might have kept thousands of homes in the Baton Rouge area from flooding, as reported Tuesday in the Baton Rouge Advocate.
The canal would have diverted water from the Comite before that river’s record crest had a chance to pass through northeast parts of the Baton Rouge area.
In addition, since the Comite joins with the Amite River near hard-hit Denham Springs, the canal would have reduced major flooding there and downstream as well.
Taxpayers in three parishes approved a property tax more than a decade ago to fund the canal, and some progress has been made, but state and federal funding to date has been insufficient to complete the project, according to the Advocate article.
The U.S. Army Corps of Engineers has estimated that the canal would cost just over $200 million — which could end up on par with the component of damage that resulted from the canal’s absence.
As was the case with Hurricane Katrina in 2005, delays in flood control ended up exacerbating the toll from flooding in the suffering of a state dealing with multiple other co-factors, including rising sea levels, a coastline plagued with subsidence, and a climate more prone to intense rainfall.

Indeed, a climate more prone to heat, creating more sky-water…

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